Two Down, Two to Go !

When I first thought about this election, I quickly decided that all 4 sitting TDs could well lose their seats.

Nominations have not opened yet, and already two are gone. I predict at least one other casualty.

Anything is possible. Don't assume that the only question is whether Labour, Sinn Féin or Fine Gael will gain the seat that Fianna Fáil has now conceded.

The past is not a reliable guide to this election.