Jail the Bankers ?
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The Great Re-Balancing 2007-?

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Entries in Blogging (2)

Friday
Jan172014

No Blogroll

Unlike (most ?) other bloggers, I do not publish a "Blogroll". Despite this, regular readers and Twitter followers will have a shrewd idea of which blogs I follow, as I am scrupulous about attributing citations and quotations (and I do a lot of both). When Google Reader of blessed memory was still with us, I did link pro-actively to other blogs through pages like this one. I haven't worked out how to do the same with Feedly, and I am not sure that I want to do so (because I now manage this website in a different manner).

Still, it was to my own surprise that, when someone asked me on Twitter recently to nominate some "great bloggers", I found that I wanted to answer the question. I listed the following, pretty much "off the top of my head":


Damien MulleyScott GreenfieldTyler CowenSimon McGarr
Rossa McMahonSteve SailerSeamus CoffeyCormac Lucey
Claire Santry

Those are all "great bloggers", but since I did this, I have (naturally) been somewhat mortified as I recall other great ones, a few of whom indeed would surpass in quality some of those above listed. So, in no particular order, I give you a further list:

Jason O'Mahony James Altucher Gerard O'Neill Ronan Lyons
Seth Godin Mark Bennett Arnold Kling Gerard Cunningham
John Cochrane Carl Gardner Dan Hull Constantin Gurdgiev
Charon Q.C. Tim Taylor David Henderson Stephen Kinsella
Michael Hyatt Michael Taft Penelope Trunk

Not all great blogs are individual efforts, mind you. Some examples of great group blogs would be Irish Economy, Come Here To Me and Credit Slips.

Monday
Mar182013

Thoughts on an Arrested Series

In the old, originally French (I think), sense of "halted", my 10-part series (the first 8 parts are here) has itself been arrested for some time now.

I will explain why in due course, but some interim observations may be of interest

Yes, Irish bankers are just as liable to commit criminal offences as any other occupational group, and I have no reason to suppose that they are more virtuous than, say, journalists,lawyers, politicians, priests or academics. However, once again, I must emphasise that in this series I am looking only at the issue of crimes which may have been causative of the collapse of the Irish banking system.

Greed - which many see as the fundamental cause - is not in itself a crime, and I cannot see any workable manner in which it, simply as such, could be made one.

Fraud and insider trading are crimes, and their incidence increased in the period up to the Collapse, but they neither caused the Crash nor significantly contributed to the cost of it in Ireland (it may have been otherwise elsewhere e.g. in Iceland).

There is no evidence - that I have seen - of involvement in such nefarious activity by prominent individuals in the Irish financial institutions, civil service, regulatory establishment or politics, with the possible exception of the Anglo/Quinn debacle. (And in that sub-story, most of the credible allegations relate to what was effectively an increasingly desperate and always futile campaign to prevent the Collapse which had already become inevitable, probably from the beginning of 2007 or even earlier).

Journalists such as Matt Cooper (in many ways otherwise admirable) react by saying that if we cannot prosecute them, then "we" must excoriate them using "our" ability to "name and shame". What is meant is not even "trial by media" - trials have rules - but more or less ignorant demagoguery, which tells us more about the moral standards of those engaging in it than about the guilt of its targets.

More serious commentators, in particular Colm McCarthy, refer constantly to "lack of clear answers" and, while acknowledging the possible lack of criminal behaviour, persist in suggesting that there must have been an original "sin", committed by an individual or by a small number of people, which drove the banks "onto the rocks". They say that the Nyberg and its preliminaries dodged this question and point to the Bankruptcy Examiner's Report into Lehman Brothers in the U.S. as a model.

Let me (again) make a few additional pertinent points:

  1. As the regular visits to Gárda stations by Mr FitzPatrick and a few others demonstrate, arresting is, among other things, in itself an idle recourse.
  2. Charging and then bringing to trial are what matters.
  3. I am not opposed to imprisoning bankers if they are convicted of serious crimes.
  4. There is little reason to believe that the Irish banking disaster was caused by any Irish banker committing a serious crime known to Irish law.
  5. Note that this does not equate to saying that no Irish banker has committed a crime known to Irish law. It also does not, of course, mean that Irish law may not have been lamentably lacking
  6. As to whether breaches of the law were serious or otherwise, most were not, as far as I can see. The evidence on serious alleged crimes is not yet in the public domain (leaks do not count: they are usually inaccurate). My guess – not all that educated – is that at least one Irish banker is guilty of at least one of the serious alleged crimes. But the crimes in question did not contribute to the occurrence of the banking catastrophe for which we are all paying.
  7. I believe that we need to legislate for more banking crimes, but we cannot in 2013 make something that happened in 2008 (or before it) into a crime now if it was not one at the time. The argument that the "common law" would have always regarded some relevant behaviour as criminal has proven impossible to sustain.
  8. Furthermore, I am sympathetic - just a little - to Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s idea that we should perhaps reconsider the virtues of the death penalty, as in China, for disastrous errors of bank management.
  9. There is no need for you - I am addressing the vocally impatient among us - to wait for the Director of Public Prosecutions, if you think – understandably – that she is too slow. The option of private prosecution, though of limited utility, is available if anyone thinks that there is enough available to proceed against anyone.(Read the recent English case of Gujra which includes a discussion of the merits of this procedure. The position in Irish law is very similar.)
  10. But the truth, which those who shout loudest on this will not admit, is that you don’t have such a basis. Or else, you’re too lazy and prefer to shout than to do something useful, while complaining that others owe you a duty to do what you will not do yourself.
  11. You are not alone. For years now, I have been offering to help anyone who wants to do something about it. Want to guess how many have even enquired about the possibility ?
  12. The answer is: 1. No, not one hundred or one thousand. Yes, I mean the number between 0 and 2. I have had a single enquiry.
  13. More correctly, the answer is still: zero, because that query – which only came in a few months ago – turned out to be from a bank shareholder who wanted to seek personal compensation from a former bank director.